MarketWatch
Global market brain · regime · flows · rotations · leadership
MOCKSHADOWREAD ONLY2026-06-14 14:02:11 UTC
Regime
CRYPTO_BETA_RISK_ON
Conviction
78
CONV78
Risk
54
RISK54
Alpha
81
ALPHA81
Liquidity
74
Action
Long selective leaders
Final Brain
CRYPTO_BETA_RISK_ON
CONV78RISK54ALPHA81LIQ74
Reasons
- ›Global liquidity expanding (TGA drain + RRP unwind)
- ›Equities breadth >65, leadership broad
- ›DXY rejected 105.4, US10Y stable
- ›Crypto leadership rotating from BTC to ETH / SOL
- ›Funding neutral, basis curve normal contango
Preferred Flows
BTC dominance fadeETH betaL2 rotationAI narrativeUSD-funded carry
Action › Add to high-beta crypto, fade DXY rallies, avoid energy longs
Regime Timeline
- T-6hSELECTIVE_RISK58
- T-5hSELECTIVE_RISK61
- T-4hCRYPTO_BETA_RISK_ON64
- T-3hCRYPTO_BETA_RISK_ON68
- T-2hCRYPTO_BETA_RISK_ON73
- T-1hCRYPTO_BETA_RISK_ON76
- NOWCRYPTO_BETA_RISK_ON78
Follow the Money · Cross-Asset Flows
Crypto↑
81+2.1%
ETH beta leading, alts catching up
Equities↑
68+0.6%
Breadth >65, mid-caps participating
Metals↑
72+1.4%
Gold breakout, miners follow
Energy↓
38-1.8%
Crude fading, gas weak
Rates↓
44-0.4%
Curve steepening, 10Y stable
FX→
52+0.1%
DXY pinned, JPY recovering
Rotation Matrix · Multi-Metric
| Momentum | Liquidity | Attention | Risk | Opportunity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI | 92 | 78 | 94 | 58 | 88 |
| RWA | 71 | 64 | 62 | 38 | 74 |
| DeFi | 62 | 72 | 54 | 41 | 66 |
| Memes | 48 | 52 | 78 | 72 | 54 |
| Restaking | 78 | 74 | 68 | 42 | 80 |
| L2 | 58 | 70 | 52 | 44 | 62 |
| Gaming | 41 | 44 | 38 | 58 | 42 |
| Tokenized Stocks | 54 | 48 | 42 | 36 | 52 |
| Metals | 74 | 82 | 58 | 28 | 70 |
| Energy | 32 | 68 | 28 | 64 | 34 |
Rotation · Heatmap
Crypto84
AI92
RWA71
Memes48
DeFi62
Equities68
Metals74
Energy32
Rates41
Utilities38
Leadership Board
BTCanchor
+1.80%LEAD82
ETHleader
+3.20%LEAD88
SOLleader
+4.10%LEAD84
Goldanchor
+1.20%LEAD76
Oillaggard
-1.60%LEAD34
Nasdaqleader
+0.80%LEAD72
Russellfollower
+0.40%LEAD58
DXYlaggard
-0.30%LEAD42
Liquidity
Score
74
Focus
Crypto majors + AI narrative
Migration
Equities → Crypto beta
Quality
Deep, two-sided, tight spreads
Global M278
US Liquidity (TGA/RRP)81
CB Balance64
Stablecoin Supply72
DEX Depth69
Funding (inverse)76
Narratives
AI
+6.4%
92
heat
Restaking
+2.2%
78
heat
RWA
+1.6%
71
heat
Memes
-3.1%
48
heat
DePIN
+0.8%
64
heat
L2
-0.4%
58
heat
Gaming
-1.2%
41
heat
Global Top Gainers
LEAD84| Sym | Class | % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| FET | Crypto | +12.4% | SCORE88 |
| TIA | Crypto | +9.1% | SCORE84 |
| SOL | Crypto | +6.2% | SCORE82 |
| NVDA | Equity | +3.4% | SCORE78 |
| Gold | Metals | +1.8% | SCORE74 |
Global Top Losers
| Sym | Class | % | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEPE | Crypto | -8.2% | SCORE32 |
| ARB | Crypto | -4.6% | SCORE38 |
| WTI | Energy | -2.8% | SCORE34 |
| DXY | FX | -0.4% | SCORE42 |
| TSLA | Equity | -1.9% | SCORE46 |
Cross Asset Correlation Matrix
30d rolling| BTC | ETH | Gold | Oil | DXY | US10Y | SPX | QQQ | VIX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.18 | 0.04 | -0.42 | -0.31 | 0.64 | 0.68 | -0.52 |
| ETH | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.22 | -0.02 | -0.48 | -0.34 | 0.61 | 0.70 | -0.49 |
| Gold | 0.18 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.34 | -0.58 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| Oil | 0.04 | -0.02 | 0.34 | 1.00 | -0.12 | 0.22 | -0.04 | -0.08 | 0.18 |
| DXY | -0.42 | -0.48 | -0.58 | -0.12 | 1.00 | 0.41 | -0.36 | -0.42 | 0.32 |
| US10Y | -0.31 | -0.34 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.41 | 1.00 | -0.48 | -0.54 | 0.28 |
| SPX | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.08 | -0.04 | -0.36 | -0.48 | 1.00 | 0.92 | -0.74 |
| QQQ | 0.68 | 0.70 | 0.04 | -0.08 | -0.42 | -0.54 | 0.92 | 1.00 | -0.78 |
| VIX | -0.52 | -0.49 | -0.06 | 0.18 | 0.32 | 0.28 | -0.74 | -0.78 | 1.00 |
Recent Signal Changes
- 14:01ETHSETUP BUILDING→LONG READY
- 13:48ARBWATCHLIST→SHORT READY
- 13:32SOLMATURE→RESET
- 13:11FETREADY→SECOND WAVE
- 12:48PEPEDISCOVERY→MUST WATCH
- 12:21BLURMATURE→FAILED
Intelligence Timeline
- 14:02Regime conviction 76 → 78 — risk-on confirmed
- 13:54Cluster E added +$96M BTC accumulation
- 13:41DXY rejected 105.4 — watching 103.8 break
- 13:22AI narrative heat 86 → 92 (24h)
- 12:58Energy flow -1.8 — sector laggard confirmed
- 12:34Stablecoin supply +1.4B (24h)